CADES Info no. 5 (June 2000)

Patrice Ract Madoux
Président de la CADES

From the Chairman
Having successfully converted its debt issued in the currencies of euro zone member states into euro-denominated debt, CADES has become a key player on the euro market. Today, three quarters of CADES' debt totalling 24 billion is denominated. Thus, CADES has continued to be part of the exclusive club of blue chip issuers. However, unlike some of the other members of this club, coming changes to prudential rules by the Basel Committee will not affect CADES' credit rating or the favourable prudential treatment given to its issues. The privileged status assigned to CADES by investors when it made large primary issues has also been assigned to it by investors on the secondary market, thanks to the high liquidity of its issues, all the more so because CADES' securities trade within a narrow bid ask spread.

CADES launched its first inflation-indexed issue in April 1999 maturing in 2013. In January 2000, it launched another issue of this type with a new maturity: 25 July 2006. This proves CADES' commitment to a market-driven approach, while at the same time showing its focus on imaginative solutions. The CADESi issues offer investors effective protection against any resurgence of inflation. At the same time, they benefit from an inexpensive option indexed to the current rate of inflation. Whereas the CADESi 2013 issue had been designed primarily for life insurers, the CADESi 2006 issue was designed more particularly for mutual fund managers, corporate treasurers and asset-liability managers in financial institutions.

 

 
 

In coming months, CADES should continue to benefit from a combination of favourable factors. The French government has reasserted that its objective is to balance the Social Security's accounts and even to generate a surplus by 2001. Furthermore, economic indicators in France and the countries that are its main trading partners are bullish. Against this background, CADES' policy will be to strengthen its positioning on the euro market by keeping its year 2000 issuance programme at between 4 billion and 5 billion.

A benchmark issuer on the euro market

As planned, CADES has further strengthened its position as a blue chip issuer on the euro market. It has confirmed its creditworthiness and the liquidity of its debt, while extending its debt structure to cover the entire yield curve. A new issue was launched at the start of the year: the CADESi 2006. Each of the six bond issues denominated in euros represents outstanding debt in excess of 2 billion euros: a bond issue at 5.5% maturing on April 25, 2002; a bond issue at 3.375% maturing on July 12, 2004; a bond issue at 6% maturing on July 25, 2005; a bond issue at 6.25% maturing on October 25, 2007; a bond issue at 5.125% maturing on October 25, 2008; and a bond issue at 5.25% maturing on October 25, 2012.


CADES' credit rating

Standard & Poor's, Moody's and Fitch IBCA have assigned the best long and short-term ratings to CADES :

* AAA/A1+ * Aaa/P1 * AAA/F1+

CADES' credit rating has been further enhanced by the favourable prudential treatment of its issues: like those of sovereign issuers from the OECD area, its issues benefit from a 0% Cooke ratio weighting. They also enjoy favourable treatment in terms of the risk-asset ratios of mutual funds and insurance companies.

 

New staff

Philippe Noël has joined the market trading team as deputy head. He has had several years' experience of fixed income markets with a major French bank. Magali Eglin has taken charge of the Chairman's secretariat.


The results for fiscal 1999

As forecast, CADES' main source of funds, the CRDS income tax levy, yielded 4.3 billion (FRF28.1 billion). The 6.1% increase on the previous fiscal year was due to high revenues and the fact that in 1999, for the first time, the books took into account receivables from previous fiscal years. To these revenues were added proceeds from the sale of property assets worth 226 million (FRF1.5 billion), 69 million of which were collected in 1999.

CADES' gross indebtedness amounted to 34.7 billion (FRF227.7 billion) compared with 34.2 billion (FRF224.5 billion) in 1998. Bond issues outstanding totalled 27.3 billion (FRF175.076 billion) in 1999, compared with 23.6 billion (FRF154.8 billion) in 1998. To this amount must be added 1.9 billion (FRF12.46 billion) worth of debt owed to credit institutions in the form of private placements. This amount is the same as in 1998.

Short-term indebtedness has fallen by half to 3.6 billion (FRF23.6 billion) compared with 7.8 billion (FRF51.7 billion) in 1998. "Other Liabilities" (non-financial outstanding debt) amounted 1.3 billion (FRF8.5 billion) in 1999, compared with 37.3 million (FRF244.7 million) the year before. This rise was due to the strong growth in margin calls and to the balance of the annual payment to the French government. CADES' negative net equity diminished from 32.8 billion (FRF215.153 billion) to 31.7 billion (FRF208 billion) following a net income appropriation of 1.1 billion (FRF7 billion) for the fiscal year. This doubling of the net income in 1999 over the previous year, when it amou-nted to 538 million (FRF3.5 billion) was due mainly to the increase in CADES' reve-nues from the CRDS income tax levy, higher property asset revenues, while interest payments and operating overheads remained stable. CADES plans to sell all of its property assets by the year 2008.

CADES' annual net income must be put into perspective by taking into account the time given to CADES to fulfil its purpose of transferring debt (18 years and one month). In approving the accounts, the Board of Directors emphasised that CADES was very likely to pay off its net debt by January 31, 2014, as redefined by the 1998 Social Security Funding Act, provided no new laws are passed and on the basis of reasonable GDP and interest rate forecasts. CADES' net indebtedness in terms of repayment value fell from 32.6 billion (FRF213.8 billion) in 1998 to 31.9 billion (FRF209.2 billion).

Issuing policy in 2000

In spite of a less favourable environment due to the uptrend in interest rates since February 1999, CADES has succeeded in stabilising both the present cost (5.01%) and the duration (4.6 years) of its debt. It has also broadened its investor base to include mutual fund managers, corporate treasurers and asset-liability managers, thanks to the launch of the CADESi 2006 issue. As in 1999, CADES' refinancing programme will diminish in 2000. Since the start of the year, issues have totalled 1.6 billion, which is less than in previous years.

For year 2000, CADES' financing needs should amount to around 4 or 5 billion.

Inflation-indexed issues : the new July 2006 issue.
In April 1999, CADES launched its first inflation-indexed issue maturing in 2013. In January 2000, it launched another issue of this type maturing on July 25, 2006. The initial volume of the CADESi 2006 issue was 500 million. This issue offered a real interest rate of 3.80%. The reoffer price was set at 99.807% at the same interest rate as the OATi issue maturing on July 25, 2009. Indexation of the CADESi 2006 issue is based on the same principle as for the CADESi 2013 and OATi issues, featuring: principal and interest indexed to CPI excluding tobacco; principal guaranteed at par at maturity. As announced, CADES swiftly increased this issue in response to market expectations by issuing a second
150 million tranche with a face value of 3.80%. The reoffer price was set at 99.92%, with a spread one basis point lower than the level of the OATi maturing on July 25, 2009.

Utilisation of medium-term debt programmes.
The flexibility of utilisation of MTN programmes provides an excellent alternative to the products available at the short end of the yield curve. For this reason, CADES has kept its international medium-term debt (EMTN) programme amounting to 10 billion and its domestic (BMTN) programme amounting to 1.5 billion. Since the start of the year, CADES has issued 1.2 billion worth of private placements in several currencies (yens, Hong Kong dollars and euros).

Repayment
CADES has effected its first repayments. After repaying the USD500 million FRN issue maturing in December 1999, the Y100 billion (
600 million) Samurai bond maturing in April 2000 was paid off. In the autumn, CADES will be repaying a 1.5 billion issue maturing in October 2000.

In response to investor expectations: the CADESi issue.
Since bottoming out at historically low levels last year, long-term interest rates have risen continually due to fear of a resurgence of inflation fuelled by the sustained growth revival. After reaching a record low of 3.725% in February 1999, the 10-year OAT government bond was trading at 5.50% in early May, compared with 5.711% two months before. Faced with this overall context featuring rising interest rates, in the first half of 2000, CADES continued its efforts to help investors manage their positions as well as possible. By launching the CADESi 2006 issue, CADES created a new issue indexed to inflation. Like the previous issue of this kind, bond portfolio and fund managers welcomed the CADESi 2006 issue. While optimising CADES' back-to-back asset-liability management, such an issue also enables investors to hedge against an upsurge in inflation.

Broadening the investor base outside the euro zone
In order to diversify its investor base, CADES has continued to implement its policy of issuing outside the euro zone. Thus, as part of its EMTN programme, CADES has again issued paper denominated in yens and Hong Kong dollars
.

Changes in debt structure at May 15, 2000

Échéancier de la dette obligataire de la Cades
Six CADES bond issues each has outstandings in excess of 2 billion euros.
1. EUR 4% October 2000
2. USD FRN December 2001
3. EUR 5,5% April 2002
4. USD 6,5% March 2002
5. CHF 2,5% March 2003
6. EUR 3,375% July 2004
7. USD 5,125% January 2004
8. NLG 6,375% July 2004
9. EUR 6% July 2005
10. EUR CADESi 3,8% July 2006
11. EUR 6,25% October 2007
12. EUR 5,125% October 2008
13. EUR IAB 4,71% May 2008
14. GBP 6,25% March 2008
15. EUR IAB 4,60% July 2010
16. EUR 5,25% October 2012
17. EUR CADESi 3% July 2013
Debt amortisation profile

85.5% of CADES' debt was made up of medium and long-term debt.
Répartition de la dette par instrument
Répartition des investisseurs par pays
76% of debt denominated in euros, 11% in US dollars, 3% in pounds and 6% in yens.
In spite of a heavy weighting in favour of euros, CADES has continued to diversify its international placements.

Corporate communications

To foster dialogue with non-resident investors, CADES regularly holds road shows. The latest ones have taken place in Scotland, England and Spain. CADES' web site is accessible at the following address : http://www.cades.fr

The quotation of CADES' issues

Investors have at their disposal a variety of media for obtaining the latest information on CADES' various issues. On the internet, CADES' web site permanently displays the latest data on its main domestic issues quoted in Paris. On electronic servers such as Reuters, Telerate, Fininfo and Bloomberg (type CADES GO or CADES Corp Go) etc..., CADES issues are quoted by major banks.

The main Reuters pages listing contributions to CADES fixed income securities
ABN AMRO <AABCADES> JPMorgan <JPMEUSUP01>
Barclays Capital <BARCAPCADES> Lehman Brothers <LBCADES>
BNP-Paribas <BNPCADES> Merrill Lynch <MLFCADES>
CAI <CAICADES01> Morgan Stanley <MSDOM5>
CDC Marchés <CDCCADES> Natexis <BFCW>
Deutsche Bank <DBCADES> SG <SGCADES01>

 

 

CADES benchmark issues over view*

Euros issues
Code ISIN Currency Coupon Maturity Size Bid Yield vs OAT vs SWAP
FR057130 EUR 4 12 OCT 00 1.5 99.71 4.73 11 - 14.4
FR057127 EUR 5.5 25 APR 02 2.9 100.41 5.24 14.7 - 10.0
FR009432680 EUR 3.375 12 JUL 04 2.5 92.17 5.51 18.3 - 13.2
FR057129 EUR 6 25 JUL 05 2.3 101.11 5.74 23.2 - 13.8
FR057128 EUR 6.25 25 OCT 07 2.6 102.35 5.84 24.8 - 10.1
FR008978522 EUR 5.125 25 OCT 08 4 95.46 5.82 30.3 - 17.0
FR008978816 EUR 5.25 25 OCT 12 2.4 93.90 5.94 34.0 - 24.1

Extract from Reuters page <CADES02> May, 19th 2000 07:34

Issues in other currencies
Code ISIN Currency Coupon Maturity Size Bid Yield Contributor
FR007184492 USD FRN 10 DEC 01 2 99.84 ghj ISMA CLOSING
FR007452063 USD 6.5 11 MAR 02 1 98.36 7.244 DAIWA SBCM
FR009192166 GBP 5.875 28 OCT 02 0.2 97.94 6.8 DEUTCHE BK
FR008485666 GBP 6.25 05 MAR 08 0.4 97.41 6.68 DEUTCHE BK
FR006803911 NLG 6.375 29 JUL 04 2.6 102.83 5.555 CSFB


Extract from Reuters page <CADES> May, 19th 2000 07:34

 

CADES inflation linked bonds (CADES)*

CADESi EUR 3,80% 25 Juil 2006
Code <FR049824=PA>
Daily Index Ratio 1.010
Daily Inflation Ration 101.57
CADESi EUR 3,15% 25 Juil 2013
Code <FR049230=PA>
Daily Index Ratio 1.014
Daily Inflation Ration 101.57
bl Yield Spread** BEI*** Yield Spread** BEI*** Page
Barclays 3.906 2.6 1.67 4.060 18.0 1.81 <BARCAPIND>
BNP-PB 3.876 0.2 1.75 4.028 15.4 1.82 <BNPSVT05>
CAI 3.877 -1.0 1.75 4.072 18.5 1.82 <CAIVAR01>
CDC 3.882 1 1.74 4.061 18.9 1.81 <CDCOAT3>
DB             4.033 15.8 1.84 <DBILB>
SG 3.910 2.9 1.70 4.061 18.0 1.81 <SGOATVAR01>

Extract from Reuters page <CADES04> May, 19th 2000 07:34

* Indicative prices as at May 19 2000
** Spread vs OATi 3% 25 Jul 2009
*** Break Even Inflation (Inflation Point Mort)

Contacts
 

CADES INFO - The CADES newsletter, 4 bis boulevard Diderot - 75012 Paris
Internet address : http://www.cades.fr. Director of publication: Patrice Ract Madoux
Edited by : CADES. Designed and published by: Gavin Anderson & Company/
DDB  & Co Hintzy Heymann.
English text : Allingua. ISSN pending

Contacts

Christophe Frankel
Head of capital market trading,

tel. : (33) 1 55 78 58 04
fax : (33)
1 55 78 58 02
e-mail :
christophe.frankel.cades@dial.oleane.com

Estelle Boullot
the Chairman's personal assistant
tel. : (33) 1 55 78 58 00